Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.217163 0.250923 0.288021 0.331790 0.381995 0.437764 0.504398
2024-10-20 0.166566 0.211014 0.264297 0.332784 0.418398 0.521811 0.656153
2024-10-27 0.125611 0.173142 0.234835 0.320564 0.436412 0.587321 0.798661
2024-11-03 0.103261 0.153800 0.224348 0.329614 0.482282 0.695202 1.014262
2024-11-10 0.086871 0.138997 0.216810 0.340761 0.532547 0.817185 1.270769
2024-11-17 0.071375 0.122125 0.202780 0.339326 0.563662 0.916302 1.511002
2024-11-24 0.059145 0.107754 0.189657 0.336398 0.591279 1.013777 1.764481
2024-12-01 0.049827 0.096279 0.178947 0.335098 0.620725 1.118069 2.045469
2024-12-08 0.042730 0.087265 0.170693 0.336274 0.654130 1.233520 2.363437
2024-12-15 0.037756 0.081221 0.166652 0.344238 0.700826 1.379065 2.757899
2024-12-22 0.032581 0.073686 0.158301 0.342166 0.727598 1.491063 3.105819
2024-12-29 0.029210 0.069245 0.155309 0.350257 0.775684 1.650843 3.571238
2025-01-05 0.025116 0.062464 0.146369 0.344608 0.795175 1.758116 3.950985
2025-01-12 0.022459 0.058469 0.142829 0.350280 0.840296 1.925996 4.486436
2025-01-19 0.019211 0.052348 0.133289 0.340412 0.848714 2.015856 4.865194
2025-01-26 0.017648 0.050173 0.132760 0.352033 0.909497 2.232368 5.566357
2025-02-02 0.016337 0.048390 0.132878 0.365301 0.976582 2.473659 6.363413
2025-02-09 0.014550 0.044905 0.127960 0.364675 1.008637 2.635989 6.994018
2025-02-16 0.012926 0.041525 0.122686 0.362130 1.035279 2.788982 7.625107
2025-02-23 0.011570 0.038648 0.118261 0.361125 1.065922 2.956805 8.320591
2025-03-02 0.010465 0.036305 0.114928 0.362648 1.103899 3.149627 9.112394
2025-03-09 0.009698 0.034888 0.114077 0.371392 1.164138 3.411567 10.133245
2025-03-16 0.008720 0.032536 0.109918 0.369275 1.192058 3.588320 10.942449